July 9, 2007
And The All New Market Analysis

Tim Ord, Editor                              16928 Van Dorn Street                                 Walton, Nebraska 68461
www.ord-oracle.com                              (402) 486-0362
"Timer Digest" Tim Ord ranked #5 for 6 months ending 10/6/06 and #1 in Gold for one year ending 1/13/06.
For 30 to 90 days horizons:  Flat
Monitoring purposes XAU: Long  XAU on 6/1/07 at 142.42.
Longer Term Trend monitoring purposes:  Flat.
We have "800" phone update that cost $2.00 a min. and billed to a credit card.  Call (1-970-224-3981) for sign up. We update Eastern time at 9:45; 3:15 and 4:00. Question? Call me (402) 486-0362.
New Book release called "Master Traders" with Tim Ord on "The Secret Science Of Price and volume.  We will autograph the book in the wording you chose if bought through The Ord Oracle.  Our price $50 total including shipping.
S&P Market:

Above is the chart of the NYSE common stocks only index with it’s 10 DMA High low Differential.  The 10 DMA high low differential refers to stocks reaching their highest or lowest price during the most recent 52-week period for a 10 day moving average.  Notict on the chart above the 10 DMA high low differential has been moving down as the NYSE has been moving sideways and suggest there is short term weakness in the market and implies the NYSE is not ready for a sustained move up right now.   The more likely situation is a move back to the bottom of the recent trading range near the 9700 range.  The 9700 range equates to the 1480 range on the SPX.    Over the past four years, major rallies in the market began with the Trin 5 reaching 7.5 or higher.  Currently the Trin 5 is just neutral with a reading coming in near the 5.00 range and not in an area where significant rallies begin from. If the 1480 range is tested and the Trin 5 reaches the 7.5 range a potential bullish signal could develop.   We are staying flat the S&P for Now.
 
Nasdaq Market:

The Nasdaq Composite is also making higher highs as the 10 DMA High Low Differential is making lower highs and suggests a pull back is not far off. Support comes in near the 2550 range and that area may be where the next bullish signal gets triggered.  The bigger trend is still up.  The 20 weekly cycle low comes in later this month and may be where the next low will be found. We are staying Flat the Nasdaq for now.
 
Bought Ivan (Invanhoe Energy) 4/13/06 at 2.55,Energy stock.  Could go to Gap area (November 2003) near 5.40.  On 4/2, we Bought ASTM at 1.92, Biotech group. Bought GNBT at 1.74 on 7/10/06, sold on 10/17 at 2.15 for 24% gain.  Bought ARIA at 3.89 on 7/27/06, Pharmaceutical, sold 9/29/06 at 4.51 for gain of 16%.
 
 
 
Gold Market:

Above is the weekly XAU index.  A potential Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be developing where the Left Shoulder bottom in the week of 1/12/07, the Head bottom in the week of 3/16/07 and the Right Shoulder bottomed in the week of 6/29/07.   To prove this is a “Head and Shoulders Bottom”  pattern, the XAU should have a “Sign of Strength” through the Neck line near the 150 range (see Chart above).  Right now the XAU is near the breakout our area and therefore we expect the recent strength to continue a bit longer and jump through the 150 level.   Once the 150 level on the XAU is jumped with a “Sign of Strength” then the 150 range should hold on any pull back.  The weekly PMO has turned up and is on a bullish signal.  Also Price Relative to Gold has closed above the down trend line down from the early January 2006 high and has triggered a bullish signal.  It appear the bottom in the XAU has been seen and the uptrend has begun.  We are expecting the next rally phase to last 12 months or longer in the gold issue market and the XAU may rally to the 250 range.   We are long the XAU at 142.42 on 6/1/07.
 
 
"Timer Digest" has ranked Tim Ord as the #1 gold timer for one year ending 1/13/06.
Bought UXG at 5.17 on 6/25/07. Bought NXG at 3.26 on 6/4/07. Bought PLM at 3.73 on 6/1/07. We bought PMU (5/27/05) at .50 and bring our average price to .81. 
We doubled our positions in BGO on (7/30/04) at 2.34 and we now have an average price at 2.70. Long NXG average of 2.26. We bought PMU (5/27/05) at .50 and bring our average price to .81.  Bought RNO on 9/11/06 at 2.15.  Sold 9/12 at 2.18 for 2.3% gain.  For examples in how "Ord-Volume" works, visit www.ord-oracle.com

 


 

 

email: tim@ord-oracle.com

visit my website at www.marketweb.com/ord

Tim Ord, The Ord Oracle
17300 Van Dorn Street
Walton, NE 68461
(402) 486- 0362

OEX Market Recommendations
1-900-933-6733
$2.25 a min.; 1-4 min.; 18 yrs. or older

  

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